Your horse only put $15 on #527 … so it comes in 11th place. When all these horses have their bets down the Roulette Wheel spins (the Race starts) and the horse who has the most money on whatever random number it lands on (527 in this example) wins. This is how I picture the ‘1000 race sim period’ that Zed talks about. There are 11 other horses all putting their bets down on this large wheel too. He puts anywhere from $0-$100 on each number. Your Zed.Run Horse is standing in front of this wheel – and he’s got a strategy that never ever changes.Įach spin, he plays each of the 1,000 numbers with a different bet amount. And standing in front of that extremely large roulette wheel is your favorite Zed.Run Horse. People on the street are dancing, juggling, selling t-shirts, and probably sticking some of those famous business cards in everyone’s hands as well.īecause you are staring at the world’s largest roulette wheel numbered 1-1000. I have adjusted this theory based on information from many players and third-party tools, notably KYH, Hawku, Danshan and GBR and countless friends!īeautiful people are drinking poolside underneath massive hotels with different themed designs. THAT BEING SAID, EVEN IF IT ISN’T EXACTLY CORRECT I BELIEVE IT GIVES US AN AMAZING FRAMEWORK TO THINK ABOUT HOW THE ZED.RUN RACING ATMOSPHERE WORKS. IMPORTANT NOTE: THIS IS MY PERSONAL THEORY - NOT GIVEN FROM THE TEAM, NOT PROVEN, AND ALMOST CERTAINLY VERY VERY SIMPLIFIED. How Does Zed.Run Pick the Winner of These Races Anyway? Let’s get that out of the way first and then we can get into Strategy & Meaning of Flames, Odds, Speeds, and more in specific horses. We need to at least imagine the way these races and horses are designed to think properly about Horses and Odds. However, we know that wasn’t necessarily a perfect system and we don’t know if this is similarly how these Flame “Simulation Placements of 1st, 2nd, and 3rd” are being generated. The team has said that ‘1000 simulations’ of the race are being run and that’s what gave us Odds. I think the most important thing that we don’t know exactly how this information is being generated. This is a common misconception because many times these will line up closely however it is not always the case.Īt an extreme level you could even see a 45-odds horse who gets a flame because he is still more likely to finish in 2nd or 3rd than the rest of the field is. It’s also extremely important to note that these 3 horses with flames are not necessarily the 3 horses who would have had the best Odds if we could still see them. In the Flames Era, 3 horses get flames… 9 don’t. In the Odds Era, we got a number displayed for each horse from the favorite all the way down who might have a ‘6.23’ to the least likely horse to win who might have a ‘45.62’. That’s a significant drop-off in information from Odds. Having read that, you should understand that Odds are an imperfect measure of how likely a horse is to win any given race.Īs the team tells us: Flames will be awarded to the “top three most likely racehorses that are considered to place (in position 1, 2, or 3) in a given race.“
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However, you will not really have a great understanding of Flames if you don’t first understand Odds… Here’s our article on that: The Odd Things About Zed.Run Odds.
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These changes have massive implications on how we play Zed.Run and need to be studied carefully, in my opinion, if you want to be successful in this atmosphere. Fatigue has been introduced (and Queues shortened to 10 mins thanks to Fatigue) If you’ve been living under a rock on Novus Earth you might not know what all the commotion is about.ģ things are happening today when Racing opens back up on August 24th, 2021: If you are able to put them to good use: Perfect. It is also not a guarantee that things will stay the same forever in the future. Pretty much nothing that you read here is guaranteed to be correct. I will try to be clear about when I am quoting from each certain information source. Most of what you will read below is personal theory based off of a mixture of what the Zed team has told us, experience with playing the game, and learning from third-party tools and other people’s analysis. These are my personal thoughts and how I understand the game of Zed.Run to work. Before we get started, I want to make one thing very clear.